Nations League
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Harry Kane 57' goal
  • Harry Kane 76' goal
  • yellowcard Rasmus Schuller 66'

England vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 5.00pm
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 England

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 7.45pm
Greece 3 - 0 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Finland had a probability of 8.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.

Result

England 74.51% (+0.01)
Draw 16.69% (-0.02)
Finland 8.8% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.28% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.66% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 44.34% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.29% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 83% (-0.08)

England Goals

Over 0.5 89.71% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 10.29% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 66.31% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 33.69% (-0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 47.13% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 52.87% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 13.43% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 86.57% (-0.07)

Score analysis

England 74.5%
Draw 16.69%
Finland 8.8%
England
2-0 @ 14.06% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 10.66% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 74.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 16.69%
Finland
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 8.8%

Head to Head

European Under-21s Championship
Nov 14, 2013 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Michael Keane 21' goal
  • Saido Berahino 37' goal
  • Saido Berahino 38' yellowcard
  • Saido Berahino 90' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick O'Shaughnessy 42'
  • redcard Patrick O'Shaughnessy 70'
  • yellowcard Moshtagh Yaghoubi 73'
European Under-21s Championship
Sep 9, 2013 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moshtagh Yaghoubi 15' goal
  • goal Saido Berahino 70'

Build-up

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