Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.