Derby County vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.