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Manor Solomon
31'
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Daniel James
60'
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Jayden Bogle
67'
Burnley vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Burnley
28.14%
▼
(-0.97)
Draw
25.75%
▼
(-0.28)
Leeds United
46.11%
▲
(+1.25)
Both Teams to Score:
52.13%
▲
(+0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.44%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 2.5
51.56%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 3.5
26.64%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 3.5
73.35%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 4.5
12.42%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 4.5
87.58%
▼
(-0.35)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
67.12%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
32.88%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
30.54%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
69.45%
▲
(+0.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
77.66%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 0.5
22.34%
▼
(-0.85)
Over 1.5
44.18%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 1.5
55.82%
▼
(-1.26)
Score analysis
Burnley
28.14%
Draw
25.74%
Leeds United
46.1%
Burnley
1-0
@
8.17%
▼
(-0.30)
2-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.14%
2-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.14%
Draw
1-1
@
12.24%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.74%
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.74%
Leeds United
0-1
@
11%
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 46.1%
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 46.1%
Luca Koleosho
18'
Bashir Humphreys
90'+8'