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Nico Schlotterbeck
40'
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Marcel Sabitzer
43'
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Mats Hummels
79'
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Vinicius Junior
35'
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Dani Carvajal
74'
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Vinicius Junior
83'
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.41%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.65%
2-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-3 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 52.33%
Head to Head
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Borja Mayoral
8'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
12'
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Lucas Vazquez
81'
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Marc Bartra
16'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
43'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
49'
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Omer Toprak
52'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
54'
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Julian Weigl
63'
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Gareth Bale
18'
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Gareth Bale
29'
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Dani Carvajal
39'
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Luka Modric
40'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
49'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
79'
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Karim Benzema
28'
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Luka Modric
38'
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Karim Benzema
53'
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Casemiro
69'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
60'
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Sokratis Papastathopoulos
71'
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Marco Reus
88'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
43'
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Marcel Schmelzer
50'
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Julian Weigl
74'
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Raphael Guerreiro
77'
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Andre Schurrle
87'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
93'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
17'
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Sergio Ramos
63'
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Raphael Varane
68'
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Marco Reus
24'
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Marco Reus
37'
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Marco Reus
75'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
83'
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Sergio Ramos
28'
-
Xabi Alonso
31'
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Daniel Carvajal
68'
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Casemiro
83'
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Karim Benzema
90'
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Gareth Bale
3'
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Isco
27'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
57'
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Marco Reus
18'
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Sebastian Kehl
30'
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Kevin Grosskreutz
87'
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