League One Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Ben Davies 27' goal
  • Ben Davies 27' goal
  • Ben Davies 27' goal
  • Ethan Laird 61' goal
  • Ethan Laird 61' goal
  • Alfie May 77' goal
  • Alfie May 86' goal
  • yellowcard David Wheeler 48'
  • yellowcard David Wheeler 48'
  • goal Vadaine Oliver 87'

Birmingham City vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Northampton 1 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
John Marquis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 6.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Birmingham City 78.22% (-0.01)
Draw 15.2%
Shrewsbury Town 6.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

36.59%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.28% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.72% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.96% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.04% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.05% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.95% (-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 90.29% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 9.71%
Over 1.5 67.65%
Under 1.5 32.35% (-0.01)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 40.53%
Under 0.5 59.47% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 9.62%
Under 1.5 90.38% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 78.21%
Draw 15.2%
Shrewsbury Town 6.58%
Birmingham City
2-0 @ 15.7%
1-0 @ 13.46%
3-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.16%
4-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 6.34%
4-1 @ 3.7%
5-0 @ 3.32%
5-1 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.65%
6-0 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 78.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 7%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.2%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 3%
1-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 6.58%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • John Marquis 20' yellowcard
  • Aaron Pierre 31' goal
  • John Marquis 38' goal
  • Tom Bloxham 55' goal
  • Aaron Pierre 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keshi Anderson 30'
  • goal Tomoki Iwata 44'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 75'
EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Malvind Benning 64' yellowcard
  • Taylor Perry 68' yellowcard
  • Aristote Nsiala 69' yellowcard
  • Tommi O'Reilly 87' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Wright 8'
  • goal Tomoki Iwata 29'
  • goal Scott Wright 38'
  • yellowcard Marc Leonard 68'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 69'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 69'
  • goal Emil Hansson 71'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 73'
  • yellowcard Brandon Khela 83'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • goal Jordan James 21'
  • goal 84'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ethan Jones 85' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Wes Thomas 2'
  • goal Clayton Donaldson 15'