Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 6.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.46%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.