Belgium vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Romania had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.