Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Bayern
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg
  • Lovro Zvonarek 4' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 13' goal
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 53'
  • yellowcard Maxence Lacroix 90'+3'

Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2024 2.30pm
Stuttgart 3 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2024 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Darmstadt
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jonas Wind

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 71.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 15.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Wolfsburg 12.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 28.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 50.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 49.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 31.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 68.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 93.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 74.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 25.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 27.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.21% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 71.96%
Draw 15.71%
Wolfsburg 12.33%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.79%
5-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 71.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.46%
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.71%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.33%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern
  • Cedric Zesiger 11' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 45'+1' goal
  • Lovro Majer 46' yellowcard
  • Bote Baku 59' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 20'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 33'
  • goal Harry Kane 43'
  • yellowcard Raphael Guerreiro 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT
Bayern
  • Jakub Kaminski 44' goal
  • Mattias Svanberg 80' goal
  • goal Kingsley Coman 9'
  • goal Kingsley Coman 14'
  • goal Thomas Muller 19'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Bayern
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Lucas Hernandez 15' yellowcard
  • Sven Ulreich 23' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 33' goal
  • Thomas Muller 44' goal
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 52'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Bayern
  • Florian Kohfeldt 38' yellowcard
  • Lukas Nmecha 42' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 45' goal
  • Max Kruse 58' goal
  • goal Josip Stanisic 17'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 40'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 77'
  • yellowcard Omar Richards 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Bayern
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Thomas Muller 7' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 57' goal
  • Leroy Sane 59' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 87' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Bayern
  • Wout Weghorst 35' goal
  • Maximilian Philipp 54' goal
  • Paulo Otavio 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mbabu 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 15'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 24'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 37'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 79'

Form Data

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Bayern
Stuttgart 3 - 1 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 2 Real Madrid
Bayern 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Union Berlin 1 - 5 Bayern
Bayern 1 - 0 Arsenal
Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Darmstadt
Freiburg 1 - 2 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig 3 - 0 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia M'bach
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Wolfsburg