Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
AVS
Aug 10, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Nacional
  • John Mercado 56' goal
  • John Mercado 56' goal
  • Nene 83' yellowcard
  • Nene 83' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Baeza 35'
  • goal Miguel Baeza 35'
  • yellowcard Ulisses 46'
  • yellowcard Ulisses 46'

AVS vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last game
Jun 2, 2024 7.45pm
AVS 2 - 1 Portimonense
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2021 8.00pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Rio Ave
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (7.68%).

Result

AVS 53.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Nacional 21.1% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 56.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 77.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.99% ▲ (+0.01)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 78.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 46.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.84% ▼ (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 58.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.69% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 21.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.16% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

AVS 53.39%
Draw 25.49%
Nacional 21.11%
AVS
1-0 @ 13.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.49%
Nacional
0-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.11%

Form Data

AVS 1 - 0 Racing de Ferrol
AVS 6 - 1 Arenteiro
AVS 0 - 0 Sporting Gijon
Porto II 2 - 1 AVS
Trofense 1 - 1 AVS
AVS 3 - 0 UD Oliveirense
Maritimo 0 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 2 - 1 Porto II
Rio Ave 1 - 1 Nacional
Chaves 0 - 0 Nacional
Maritimo 2 - 0 Nacional
Machico 0 - 1 Nacional