Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.