Champions League
Sep 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Robin Le Normand 10' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 28' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 60' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 64' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 90' goal
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 4'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 39'
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 49'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 90'+4'

Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Atletico Madrid 49.36% (+0.49)
Draw 22.88% (-0.12)
RB Leipzig 27.75% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.43% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.81% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 39.18% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 38.48% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 61.51% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 20.94% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 79.06% (-0.22)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.87% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 16.12% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 54.46% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 45.54% (-0.50)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 73.24% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 26.75% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 37.96% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 62.03% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 49.36%
Draw 22.87%
RB Leipzig 27.75%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.76% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.37% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.8% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.63% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.73% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 49.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.87%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 13, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Dani Olmo 51' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 70' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 82' yellowcard
  • Amadou Haidara 87' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 88' goal
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 62'
  • goal Joao Felix 71'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+6'