Conference League
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 52' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 16'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 29'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 56'
  • goal Santiago Hezze 67'
  • yellowcard Kostas Fortounis 83'

Aston Villa vs Olympiacos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Olympiacos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 39.23% (+0.05)
Draw 23.97% (-0.01)
Olympiacos 36.81% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.57% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.27% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.73% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.89% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.11% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 19.7% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.3% (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 79.07% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.93% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 46.33% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 53.67% (-0.05)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 77.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.51% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 39.23%
Draw 23.96%
Olympiacos 36.81%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 39.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.96%
Olympiacos
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 36.81%

Build-up

News