Premier League Gameweek 37
Arsenal
May 18, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Newcastle
  • Declan Rice 55' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 81' yellowcard
  • Mikel Arteta 81' yellowcard
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jakub Kiwior 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 90'+8'

Arsenal vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 4.30pm
Liverpool 2 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 12.00pm
Newcastle 2 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 50.88% ▼ (-1.21)
Draw 22.64% ▲ (+0.20)
Newcastle United 26.47% ▲ (+1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.14% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 84.45% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 15.54% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 55.52% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 1.5 44.48% ▲ (+0.78)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 72.39% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 0.5 27.6% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 1.5 36.86% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 1.5 63.13% ▼ (-0.95)

Score analysis

Arsenal 50.88%
Draw 22.64%
Newcastle United 26.47%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 50.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.64%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.19)
0-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Newcastle
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
Arsenal
  • Alexander Isak 4' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 20' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 47' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 52' goal
  • Fabian Schar 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 42'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 44'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 83'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Jan 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
Newcastle
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 81' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Isak 38'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 42'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 51'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 55'
  • yellowcard Tino Livramento 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Newcastle
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Arsenal
  • Alexander Isak 12' goal
  • Fabian Schar 39' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 62' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 71' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 56'
  • yellowcard Jurrien Maduro 66'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 88'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Arsenal
Feb 24, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Newcastle
  • Martin Odegaard 7' yellowcard
  • Sven Botman 18' goal
  • Kai Havertz 24' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 65' goal
  • Jakub Kiwior 69' goal
  • goal Joe Willock 84'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Newcastle
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Arsenal
  • Anthony Gordon 37' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 38' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 38' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 64' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 88' yellowcard
  • Tino Livramento 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 37'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Newcastle
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Martin Odegaard 14'
  • goal Fabian Schar 71' (OG)

Form Data

Liverpool 2 - 2 Arsenal
PSG 2 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Arsenal 0 - 1 PSG
Arsenal 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Ipswich 0 - 4 Arsenal
Newcastle 2 - 0 Chelsea
Brighton 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 3 - 0 Ipswich
Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Newcastle 4 - 1 Man Utd

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