Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.