Serie A Gameweek 35
AC Milan
May 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa
  • Tijjani Reijnders 43' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 45' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 72' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • goal Mateo Retegui 5'
  • goal Caleb Ekuban 48'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+4'

AC Milan vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 5.00pm
Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2024 7.45pm
Genoa 3 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Albert Gudmundsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

AC Milan 57.32% ▼ (-0.71)
Draw 23.12% ▲ (+0.44)
Genoa 19.56% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.62% ▼ (-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.17% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 2.5 48.83% ▲ (+1.45)
Over 3.5 29.07% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 3.5 70.93% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 4.5 14.03% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 4.5 85.96% ▲ (+0.92)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 83.21% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 0.5 16.79% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 1.5 53.25% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 1.5 46.75% ▲ (+1.36)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 60.83% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 39.16% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 24.12% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 75.88% ▲ (+0.52)

Score analysis

AC Milan 57.31%
Draw 23.12%
Genoa 19.56%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.73% ▲ (+0.41)
2-0 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 57.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.12%
Genoa
0-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.28)
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 19.56%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 8
Genoa
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
AC Milan
  • Alberto Gilardino 10'+10' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 69' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 21'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 22'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 47'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 62'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
  • redcard Mike Maignan 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 33
AC Milan
Apr 15, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Genoa
  • Rafael Leao 11' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 84' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 79'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Jan 13, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
ET
Genoa
  • Sandro Tonali 42' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 74' goal
  • Rafael Leao 102' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 112' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 115' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Skiri Oestigaard 17'
  • yellowcard Milan Badelj 37'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 47'
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 53'
  • yellowcard Silvan Hefti 64'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Genoa
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Andrea Masiello 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 73' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 10'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 32'
  • goal Junior Messias 45'+2'
  • goal Junior Messias 61'
Serie A Gameweek 31
AC Milan
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Genoa
  • Ante Rebic 13' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 68' goal
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 26'
  • goal Mattia Destro 37'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Genoa
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Luca Pellegrini 18' yellowcard
  • Mattia Destro 47' goal
  • Mattia Destro 60' goal
  • Ivan Radovanovic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 25'
  • goal Davide Calabria 52'
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 54'
  • goal Pierre Kalulu 83'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 83'

Form Data

Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 2 Inter Milan
Roma 2 - 1 AC Milan
Sassuolo 3 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Roma
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Genoa 3 - 0 Cagliari
Genoa 0 - 1 Lazio
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Genoa
Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Genoa
Genoa 1 - 1 Frosinone
Juventus 0 - 0 Genoa