League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 1 York City
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 3 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Charlie Caton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw has a probability of 20.33% and a win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it is 0-1 (4.82%).

Result

York City 64.94% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 20.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Accrington Stanley 14.73% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 22.65% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 54.51% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 45.45% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 32.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.94% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

York City 49.39% ▼ (-1.32)
Draw 35.14% ▲ (+1.05)
Accrington Stanley 15.47% ▲ (+0.26)

Team To Score First

York City 66.58% ▲ (+0.29)
No Goal 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Accrington Stanley 27.49% ▼ (-0.30)

Corners

Over 8 59.43% ▼ (-9.12)
Equal 8 10.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 30.03% ▲ (+9.09)
Over 9 48.54% ▼ (-8.25)
Equal 9 10.88% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 9 40.57% ▲ (+9.13)
Over 10.5 38.16% ▼ (-6.70)
Under 10.5 61.84% ▲ (+6.70)

York City Goals

Over 1.5 59.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 40.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 32.99% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 67.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 15.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 84.76% ▼ (-0.07)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 48.08% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 51.92% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 17.62% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 82.38% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 4.69% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 95.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

York City 64.94%
Draw 20.33%
Accrington Stanley 14.73%
York City
1-0 @ 11.9% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 15.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 64.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.33%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 14.73%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tarique Fosu-Henry 35' goal
  • Josh Windass 69' goal
  • Tarique Fosu-Henry 71' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 92' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Summerfield 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Hendrie 59'
League Two
Nov 28, 2015 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan Lussey 14' yellowcard
  • James Berrett 70' yellowcard
  • Bradley Fewster 75' goal
  • goal Matty Pearson 15'
  • goal Billy Kee 33'
  • goal Josh Windass 61'
  • yellowcard Josh Windass 62'
  • goal Billy Kee 72'
  • yellowcard Bradley Halliday 74'
  • goal Shay McCartan 88'
  • yellowcard Shay McCartan 92'
League Two
Mar 21, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Joyce 40' yellowcard
  • Sean Maguire 69' goal
  • Josh Windass 90' goal
  • yellowcard Bradley Halliday 19'
  • goal Luke Summerfield 63'
  • goal Jake Hyde 76'
League Two
Dec 26, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Keith Lowe 35' goal
  • Brad Halliday 61' redcard
  • Carlton Morris 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Molyneux 96'
League Two
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Coulson 61' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Atkinson 59'
  • yellowcard Kayode Odejayi 60'
  • yellowcard James Gray 70'
  • goal Shay McCartan 90'
League Two
Dec 26, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dean Winnard 35' yellowcard
  • Nicky Hunt 41' yellowcard
  • George Bowerman 45' goal
  • goal Wes Fletcher 35'