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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 34.59% | 26.93% | 38.48% |
| Both teams to score 51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% | 75.61% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% | 29.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% | 65.8% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% | 27.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% | 62.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.48% |