League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE Crown Oil Arena
  • Harvey Gilmour 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 29'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 56'
  • yellowcard Joe Felix 60'

Rochdale vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Port Vale 4 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown

York City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Grimsby Town 5 - 2 York City
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for York City has a probability of 35.73% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest York City win is 1-2 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result

Rochdale 40.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 23.79%
York City 35.73% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.96% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 61.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 38.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.94% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 29.28%
Draw 36.41%
York City 34.31%

Team To Score First

Rochdale 45.4%
No Goal 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
York City 49.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.54%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 34.36%
Over 9 43.51%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 45.46%
Over 10.5 33.37%
Under 10.5 66.63%

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 45.14% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.96% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.04% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 8.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.89% ▲ (+0.04)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 70.88% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 29.12% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 41.29% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 58.71% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 18.6% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 81.4% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 7.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.81% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Rochdale 40.48%
Draw 23.79%
York City 35.72%
Rochdale
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 40.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.79%
York City
1-2 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 35.72%

Head to Head

National League
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Aidan Barlow 67' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 67' yellowcard
  • Casey Pettit 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Pritchard 76' yellowcard
  • Tyler Smith 84' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 70'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fallowfield 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 70'
  • yellowcard Callum Howe 75'
  • yellowcard Greg Olley 88'
  • goal Josh Stones 90'+13'
National League
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 72' goal
  • goal Alex Newby 57'
  • goal Alex Newby 90'
National League Gameweek 27
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Liam Hogan 64' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Pearce 23'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Sinclair 27'
  • goal Lewis Richardson 62'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 69'
  • goal Ryan Fallowfield 75'
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 80'
National League Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Ricky Aguiar 4' goal
  • Callum Howe 54' yellowcard
  • Marvin Armstrong 62' yellowcard
  • Darragh O'Connor 69' yellowcard
  • Alex Hunt 76' yellowcard
  • Lenell John-Lewis 84' yellowcard
  • Harrison Male 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 6'
National League Gameweek 24
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 17' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 24' yellowcard
  • Harvey Gilmour 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 41'