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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Newport County

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Newport

Patterson (52'), Medley (74')
Virtue (31'), Medley (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Antwi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Walsall
Monday, April 21 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Newport County

With both teams out of form heading into this encounter, we do not expect the most entertaining of fixtures. An irrelevant low-scoring draw could play out, not really benefitting either side in their efforts to end the season on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawNewport County
60.13% (0.28 0.28) 23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.87% (-0.277 -0.28)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.534 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (-0.429 -0.43)52.17% (0.432 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.371 -0.37)73.88% (0.373 0.37)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)16.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)47.11% (0.101 0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.72% (-0.605 -0.6)44.28% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.497 -0.5)80.36% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 60.11%
    Newport County 16.87%
    Draw 23%
Fleetwood TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 11.81% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.87%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Newport
0-0
Fleetwood
Miley (45+4')
Harrington (24'), Adam (25'), Virtue (36'), Mayor (74'), Johnston (81')
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
4-1
Newport
Schumacher (4' pen., 48', 59' pen.), Ball (78')
Hogan (28')
Zebroski (71' pen.)
Minshull (17'), Chapman (45'), Jackson (60')
Willmott (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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