League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Newport

Patterson (52'), Medley (74')
Virtue (31'), Medley (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Antwi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 0-0 Walsall
Monday, April 21 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Newport County
60.13% ( 0.28)	23% ( 0)	16.87% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 46.25% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83% (

-0.43)

52.17% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

-0.37)

73.88% (

0.37)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-0.05)

16.99% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

-0.1)

47.11% (

0.1)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.72% (

-0.6)

44.28% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.64% (

-0.5)

80.36% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 60.11%

Newport County 16.87%

Draw 23%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.11%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.55% Total : 16.87%