/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
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Matty Virtue
31'
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Phoenix Patterson
52'
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Zech Medley
74'
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Zech Medley
76'
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Cameron Antwi
82'
Fleetwood Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result
Fleetwood Town
60.13%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
23%
▲
(+0.01)
Newport County
16.87%
▼
(-0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
46.25%
▼
(-0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.83%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 2.5
52.17%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 3.5
26.11%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
73.88%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 4.5
12.07%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
87.93%
▲
(+0.25)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
83.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
16.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
52.89%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
47.11%
▲
(+0.11)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
55.72%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 0.5
44.28%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 1.5
19.64%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
80.36%
▲
(+0.51)
Score analysis
Fleetwood Town
60.11%
Draw
23%
Newport County
16.87%
Fleetwood Town
1-0
@
13.33%
▲
(+0.20)
2-0 @ 11.81% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.11%
2-0 @ 11.81% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.11%
Draw
1-1
@
10.86%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23%
0-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23%
Newport County
0-1
@
6.13%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.87%
1-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.87%
Robbie Willmott
3'