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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 30.85% | 26.94% | 42.21% |
| Both teams to score 49.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% | 55.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% | 76.32% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% | 25.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% | 60.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.21% |