League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

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Reading
2 - 4
Barnsley

Wing (67'), Bodin (90+4')
Yiadom (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Humphrys (52'), Russell (57'), Keillor-Dunn (79', 85')
Connell (75'), Russell (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Reading
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Barnsley
44.8% ( 0.14)	23.81% ( 0.08)	31.39% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 60.53% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

-0.49)

41.42% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

-0.5)

63.82% (

0.5)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0.14)

18.75% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86% (

-0.23)

50.13% (

0.23)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

-0.37)

25.51% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.64% (

-0.52)

60.36% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Reading 44.8%

Barnsley 31.39%

Draw 23.8%

Reading	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.8%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.39%