League One Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ruel Sotiriou 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Mbengue 59'
  • goal Lewis Wing 67'
  • goal Chem Campbell 90'+4'

Bristol Rovers vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Mansfield 1 - 5 Reading
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Harvey Knibbs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result

Bristol Rovers 29.73% (+0.01)
Draw 24.3% (+0.02)
Reading 45.97% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.88% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.51% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.49% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 33.14% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 66.86% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.89% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.11% (+0.07)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 71.9% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.11% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 36.22% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 63.78% (+0.06)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 80.51% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 19.49% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 48.64% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 51.36% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 29.73%
Draw 24.29%
Reading 45.97%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 6.95% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 29.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.29%
Reading
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.96% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 45.97%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Sam Smith 66' goal
  • Tyler Bindon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Promise Omochere 21'
  • yellowcard Matt Taylor 21'
  • yellowcard Shaq Forde 32'
  • redcard Shaq Forde 55'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 89'
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Jack Hunt 90' yellowcard
  • Kamil Conteh 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Smith 8'
  • goal Lewis Wing 45'
League One Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Charlie Savage 24' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 40' goal
  • Sam Hutchinson 49' yellowcard
  • Michael Craig 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Mangan 25'
  • goal Chris Martin 57'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 82'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dominic Samuel 39'
  • goal Nick Blackman 65'