Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.