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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Reading |
| 29.73% ( | 24.3% ( | 45.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( | 44.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( | 28.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( | 63.78% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( | 19.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% ( | 51.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 3-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.73% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.97% |