Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (11.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.