Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.