Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.