Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.