Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.