League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Mason Melia 28' goal
  • Mason Melia 33' goal
  • Sean Hoare 38' yellowcard
  • Barry Baggley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 2'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 51'
  • goal Conan Noonan 80'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 83'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 90'+6'

St Patrick's Athletic vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 19, 2025 8.00pm
Shamrock 4 - 0 St Patrick's
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mason Melia

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
Waterford 1 - 3 Shamrock
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Padraig Amond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 67.69% (-0.01)
Draw 19.89% (+0.02)
Waterford United 12.42% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.84% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.83% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.17% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.68% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 70.32% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.45% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.55% (+0.07)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 86.76% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 13.24% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 59.98% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 40.02% (+0.08)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 51.69% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 48.31% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 16.54% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 83.46% (+0.07)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 67.68%
Draw 19.89%
Waterford United 12.42%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0 @ 13.07% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.93% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.81% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 67.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 19.89%
Waterford United
0-1 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 12.42%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Padraig Amond 14' goal
  • Dean McMenamy 60' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 87' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zachary Elbouzedi 55'
  • yellowcard Barry Baggley 59'
  • goal Darragh Leahy 88' (OG)
  • goal Brandon Kavanagh 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Tom Grivosti 29' yellowcard
  • Zachary Elbouzedi 35' goal
  • Mason Melia 39' goal
  • Mason Melia 44' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 75' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 77' goal
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 32'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 4, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Ben McCormack 52' goal
  • Kacper Radkowski 61' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 74' yellowcard
  • Connor Parsons 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 70'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Mason Melia 37' yellowcard
  • Aaron Bolger 41' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 65' goal
  • Chris Forrester 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Maleace Asamoah 13'
  • yellowcard Robert McCourt 29'
  • yellowcard Keith Long 30'
  • yellowcard Maleace Asamoah 38'
  • yellowcard Ben McCormack 73'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Padraig Amond 7' goal
  • Padraig Amond 41' goal
  • Padraig Amond 56' yellowcard
  • Maleace Asamoah 70' goal
  • Rowan McDonald 77' yellowcard
  • Darragh Power 81' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Breslin 34'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 56'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeremie Milambo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jak Hickman 55'