Copa Libertadores
Sep 16, 2026 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
  • Luis Segovia 15' goal
  • Juanse Rodríguez 68' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 90' goal
  • Michael Estrada 90'+3' goal
  • Michael Estrada 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Marlon Freitas 10'
  • yellowcard José Manuel López 61'
  • redcard Abel Ferreira 68'
  • goal Vitor Roque 73'

LDU Quito vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 11.00pm
Palmeiras 1 - 0 LDU Quito

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 11.00pm
Palmeiras 1 - 0 LDU Quito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-0 (9.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

LDU Quito 31.59% ▲ (+0.54)
Draw 28.1% ▼ (-0.44)
Palmeiras 40.27% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.47% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 31.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 43.57% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 56.43% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 21.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 78.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.24% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

LDU Quito 28% ▲ (+1.52)
Draw 45.66% ▼ (-0.28)
Palmeiras 26.35% ▼ (-1.24)

Team To Score First

LDU Quito 46.46% ▼ (-0.58)
No Goal 9.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Palmeiras 43.93% ▲ (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 59.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.54% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 8 29.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 48.66% ▼ (-0.32)
Equal 9 10.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 9 40.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 10.5 38.26% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 10.5 61.74% ▲ (+0.42)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 1.5 29.47% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 70.53% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 10.45% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 89.55% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 3.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 70.17% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 29.83% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 35.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 64.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 14.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.81% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.74% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

LDU Quito 31.6%
Draw 28.11%
Palmeiras 40.26%
LDU Quito
1-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 31.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.11%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 40.26%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Sep 9, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Agustín Giay 26' goal
  • Gustavo Gómez   44' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs  90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Evangelista 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Estrada 12'
  • yellowcard Fernando Cornejo  22'
  • yellowcard Yerlin Quiñónez 32'
  • yellowcard Gian Franco Allala 73'
Copa Libertadores
Oct 31, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa Libertadores
Oct 24, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT