UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Latvia
1 - 2
Armenia

Uldrikis (70')
SavaÄ¼nieks (73'), Uldrikis (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Spertsyan (48'), Miranyan (75')
Grigoryan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-0 Latvia
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

Armenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Armenia 0-1 Faroe Islands
Thursday, November 14 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Armenia would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Armenia
31.87% ( 1.13)	27.35% ( 0.3)	40.78% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67% (

-0.78)

56.33% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64% (

-0.63)

77.36% (

0.64)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

0.4)

32.64% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

0.44)

69.18% (

-0.44)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

-1.12)

27.13% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

-1.48)

62.52% (

1.48)

Score Analysis

Latvia 31.87%

Armenia 40.78%

Draw 27.35%

Latvia	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.87%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 2% Total : 40.78%