La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 3.15pm
Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Sergio Camello

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 8.00pm
Valencia 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Umar Sadiq

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 35.12% and a draw has a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Valencia win is 0-1 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 37.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 27.32%
Valencia 35.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.8%
Under 2.5 51.2%
Over 3.5 26.6%
Under 3.5 73.4%
Over 4.5 14.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.63% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 29.19%
Draw 43.46%
Valencia 27.34%

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 48.32%
No Goal 7.92%
Valencia 43.76%

Corners

Over 8 62.47%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 26.03%
Over 9 50.24%
Equal 9 12.23%
Under 9 37.53%
Over 10.5 38.44%
Under 10.5 61.56%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 36.95%
Under 1.5 63.05%
Over 2.5 14.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 37.56%
Draw 27.34%
Valencia 35.12%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.34%
Valencia
0-1 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 35.12%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Unai Núñez 32' yellowcard
  • Diego López 40' goal
  • Largie Ramazani 61' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 61' yellowcard
  • Filip Ugrinic 61' yellowcard
  • Jesús Vázquez 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 8'
  • goal Florian Lejeune 20'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 60'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 60'
  • yellowcard Pathé Ciss 61'
  • yellowcard Unai López 67'
  • yellowcard Andrei Rațiu 73'
La Liga
Dec 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Nobel Mendy 37' goal
  • Alexandre Alemao 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Zurawski 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 64'
  • goal Diego López 64'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 71'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Pathe Ciss 28' yellowcard
  • Cesar Tarrega 45' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 49' yellowcard
  • Pep Chavarria 82' yellowcard
  • goal Umar Sadiq 75'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 52' yellowcard
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 72' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 7'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 52'
  • yellowcard Isi 71'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Thierry Correia 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 32'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Kike Perez 70' yellowcard
  • Randy Nteka 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 34'
  • yellowcard Jesus Vazquez 50'
  • goal Sergi Canos 61'
  • yellowcard Selim Amallah 75'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 81'
  • redcard Thierry Correia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 90'+5'