La Liga Gameweek 12
Atletico
Nov 8, 2026 8.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Barcelona

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 1.00pm
Levante 0 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Álex Baena

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 6 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Raphinha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 33.61% and a draw has a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 2-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.58%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 33.61% ▼ (-0.89)
Draw 21.68% ▲ (+0.22)
Barcelona 44.68% ▲ (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.54% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.39% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 12.61% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 70.47% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 2.5 29.5% ▼ (-1.17)
Over 3.5 47.54% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 3.5 52.46% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 4.5 31.65% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 4.5 68.35% ▼ (-0.67)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 29.5% ▼ (-0.59)
Draw 36.71% ▼ (-0.76)
Barcelona 33.79% ▲ (+1.36)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 43.78% ▼ (-0.91)
No Goal 3.06% ▲ (+0.09)
Barcelona 53.16% ▲ (+0.83)

Corners

Over 8 50.9% ▲ (+3.31)
Equal 8 11.79% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 8 37.31% ▼ (-3.77)
Over 9 39.5% ▲ (+2.60)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 9 49.1% ▼ (-3.31)
Over 10.5 29.38% ▲ (+1.79)
Under 10.5 70.62% ▼ (-1.79)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 43.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 56.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.21%
Under 2.5 78.79%
Over 3.5 8.55% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 91.45% ▼ (-0.24)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 78.52% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 21.48% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 53.19% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 1.5 46.81% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 2.5 28.73% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 2.5 71.27% ▼ (-1.08)
Over 3.5 13.21% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 3.5 86.79% ▼ (-0.68)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 33.61%
Draw 21.68%
Barcelona 44.68%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.34)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 33.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 21.68%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 12.55% ▲ (+0.59)
Total : 44.68%

Head to Head

Champions League
Atletico
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Ademola Lookman 31' goal
  • Álex Baena 66' yellowcard
  • Nico González 66' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 76' yellowcard
  • Johnny Cardoso 89' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Yamal 4'
  • goal Ferran Torres 24'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 68'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 68'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 81'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 89'
  • yellowcard Roony Bardghji 89'
  • yellowcard Roony Bardghji 90'
Champions League
Barcelona
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Camp Nou
Atletico
  • Fermín López 46' yellowcard
  • Gavi 46' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 73' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Balde 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 31'
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 32'
  • goal Julián Alvarez 45'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 60'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 60'
  • goal Alexander Sørloth 70'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 80'
  • yellowcard Nico González 80'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Atletico
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Giuliano Simeone 39' goal
  • Matteo Ruggeri 46' yellowcard
  • José María Giménez 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 61' yellowcard
  • Javi Morcillo 61' yellowcard
  • Taufik Seidu 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal 40'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 42'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Jules Koundé 62'
  • yellowcard Gavi 78'
  • yellowcard Gavi 79'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 79'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 87'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Mar 3, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Camp Nou
Atletico
  • Alejandro Balde 13' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 29' goal
  • Raphinha 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 64' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 71' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 72' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 58'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 58'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 69'
  • yellowcard José María Giménez 76'
Copa del Rey
Atletico
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 6 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Barcelona
  • Eric Garcia 6' goal
  • Eric García 7' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 73' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard João Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martín 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 88'
La Liga
Barcelona
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Atletico
  • Raphinha 26' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 65' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+6' goal
  • goal Alex Baena 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 41'

Form Data

Atletico 0 - 2 Bayern
Levante 0 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 0 Deportivo
Stuttgart 1 - 1 Atletico
Espanyol 0 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 0 Man Utd
Barcelona 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Barcelona 6 - 1 Alaves
Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid
PSG 4 - 2 Barcelona
Betis 2 - 5 Barcelona
Galatasaray 1 - 4 Barcelona