La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 24, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 1
Osasuna

Vicente (56' pen.)
Conechny (65'), Garces (77'), Vicente (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (88')
Garcia (75'), Areso (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Alaves
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
43.56% ( 1.47)	27.86% ( -0.16)	28.58% ( -1.32)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.71% (

0.04)

59.29% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.3% (

0.03)

79.69% (

-0.03)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

0.81)

27.02% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

1.04)

62.38% (

-1.05)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33% (

-1.01)

36.66% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55% (

-1.03)

73.45% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Alaves 43.55%

Osasuna 28.58%

Draw 27.85%

Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.55%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.58%