KNVB Beker
MVV
Oct 28, 2026 7.00pm
De Geusselt
Excelsior

MVV Maastricht vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 30.02% and a draw has a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win is 2-1 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.8%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 30.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 21.34% ▲ (+0.02)
SBV Excelsior 48.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.85% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 63.57%
Under 2.5 36.43%
Over 3.5 42.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 57.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 27.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 72.17% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 26.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 35.4% ▼ (-0.01)
SBV Excelsior 37.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 39.91%
No Goal 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
SBV Excelsior 56.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 47.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 40.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.2% ▼ (-0.01)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 36.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.92%
Under 3.5 94.08%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 52.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 47.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 28.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 71.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 30.01%
Draw 21.34%
SBV Excelsior 48.64%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 6.36%
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 3.82%
3-1 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 30.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.34%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-1 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 5.28%
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.63%
Other @ 13.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 48.64%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 33
MVV
Apr 4, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT De Geusselt
Excelsior
  • Sven Braken 35' goal
  • Ayman Kassimi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ayman Kassimi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 86'
  • goal Mike van Duinen 90'+2'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 11
Excelsior
Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
MVV
  • Seydou Fini 35' goal
  • Noah Naujoks 69' yellowcard
  • Serano Seymor 81' yellowcard
  • Mike van Duinen 87' goal
  • Mike van Duinen 88' yellowcard
  • Jerolldino Armantrading 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ilano Silva Timas 9'
  • goal Seb Loeffen 42' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ozgur Aktas 81'
  • yellowcard Edwin Hermans 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lars Schenk 90'+6'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 35
MVV
Apr 15, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Excelsior
  • Mart Remans 6' goal
  • Roland Alberg 63' yellowcard
  • Rico Zeegers 72' yellowcard
  • goal Reuven Niemeijer 2'
  • redcard Redouan El Yaakoubi 83'
  • yellowcard Nikita Vlasenko 84'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 19
Excelsior
Dec 10, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
MVV
  • Thijs Dallinga 21' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 50' goal
  • yellowcard Rico Zeegers 33'
  • yellowcard Roland Alberg 75'
  • goal Mats Wieffer 84' (OG)
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
MVV
Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Djibril Dianessy 88' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 8
Excelsior
Oct 16, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MVV
  • Julian Baas 52' goal
  • Elias Mar Omarsson 55' goal
  • yellowcard Timo Stavitski 24'

Form Data

Den Bosch 2 - 2 MVV
MVV 1 - 5 Heracles
NAC Breda 1 - 0 MVV
Oss 4 - 1 MVV
MVV 2 - 0 Helmond
RKC Waalwijk 6 - 1 MVV
Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior
Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen
Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior
Excelsior 1 - 2 Utrecht
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Excelsior