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Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jun 30, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
Juventus logo

Genoa
1 - 3
Juventus

Pinamonti (76')
Favilli (7'), Schone (33'), Sturaro (58'), Cassata (70'), Masiello (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dybala (50'), Ronaldo (57'), Costa (73')
Bonucci (45+2')

Preview: Genoa vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Juventus, including team news and predicted lineups.

Juventus will be looking for their sixth Serie A victory in a row when they continue their 2019-20 campaign away to relegation-threatened Genoa on Tuesday night.

The Old Lady are currently top of the table, four points clear of second-placed Lazio, while Genoa occupy 17th position, just one point clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Genoa celebrate a goal against AC Milan in Serie A in March 2020© Reuters

Genoa have not played outside of Serie A since the 2006-07 campaign, but they only just survived relegation last season - finishing in 17th position - and are in another battle to stay in the league this term.

The Red and Blues have only won six of their 28 league matches during the 2019-20 campaign, picking up 26 points to occupy 17th, just one point clear of 18th-placed Lecce on the same number of games.

Davide Nicola's side suffered a 4-1 home defeat to Parma on their return to action on June 23 before drawing 2-2 at Brescia on Saturday as they put what could be an important point on the board.

Genoa's recent form is actually quite strong, having lost just two of their last eight in the league, picking up wins over Cagliari, Bologna and AC Milan in the process.

A clash with the reigning champions and current leaders is not quite what the supporters would have wanted on Tuesday evening, though, during an incredibly important stage of the season.

Cristiano Ronaldo in action for Juventus on June 22, 2020© Reuters

Juve lost to Napoli in the Coppa Italia final on June 17, but they have picked up two wins from their two Serie A matches since resuming their campaign earlier this month.

Indeed, a 2-0 victory over Bologna on June 22 was followed by a 4-0 success over Lecce, meaning that Maurizio Sarri's side have been able to consolidate their spot at the top of the division.

Juve have now won their last five in Italy's top flight and sit four points clear of second-placed Lazio, who will take on Torino immediately before this particular match takes place.

Lazio could therefore be within a point of the leaders by the time that this game kicks off, and it is certainly not unimaginable that Sarri's team could drop points on Tuesday night.

Genoa actually ran out 2-0 winners in the corresponding game during the 2018-19 campaign, with Stefano Sturaro and Goran Pandev both scoring in the final 20 minutes.

Genoa Serie A form: WWLWLD

Juventus Serie A form: LWWWWW
Juventus form (all competitions): LWDLWW


Team News

Juventus midfielder Aaron Ramsey pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Genoa will again be without the services of holding midfielder Ivan Radovanovic due to a knee injury, while full-back Domenico Criscito will also miss out due to a tendon issue.

There is expected to be changes from the side that drew with Brescia, with Pandev and Lasse Schone both candidates to be rotated into the XI against the champions.

Iago Falque is likely to keep his spot in the final third, but Antonio Sanabria might come into his manager's thinking for a starting role if he manages to overcome some muscle fatigue.

As for Juve, Mattia De Sciglio, Alex Sandro, Sami Khedira, Giorgio Chiellini and Merih Demiral are all still on the sidelines through injury, but the Old Lady do not have any fresh concerns.

Blaise Matuidi looks set to continue at left-back due to his team's problems in that area of the field, but there could be a change in midfield with Aaron Ramsey potentially replacing Adrien Rabiot.

Miralem Pjanic is believed to have undergone a medical with Barcelona at the weekend ahead of a proposed swap deal with Arthur, but the experienced midfielder should keep his spot in the XI.

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Perin; Zapata, Romero, Soumaoro; Biraschi, Sturaro, Falque, Schone, Barreca; Pandev, Destro

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Cuadrado, De Ligt, Bonucci, Matuidi; Bentancur, Pjanic, Ramsey; Bernardeschi, Ronaldo, Dybala


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Genoa 0-2 Juventus

Genoa are certainly capable of pulling off a big result against the champions, but we are finding it difficult to back against an away win on Tuesday night. Juve were excellent going forward against Lecce and should have too much for the hosts in this particular contest.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.


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Barcelona celebrate Arthur's goal against Villarreal in La Liga on September 24, 2019.
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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