Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.