J1 League | Gameweek 17

May 17, 2025 at 7am UK

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse

Suzuki (7', 7')
Matsumura (66'), Matsumura (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bueno (76'), Bueno (76')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, May 11 at 5.05am in J1 League

Goals
for

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, May 11 at 5.05am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
44.41% ( 0.1)	26.15% ( 0.09)	29.44% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.67% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47% (

-0.46)

52.53% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.39)

74.19% (

0.39)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

-0.15)

23.55% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

-0.22)

57.6% (

0.21)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

-0.38)

32.41% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07% (

-0.43)

68.93% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 44.4%

Shimizu S-Pulse 29.44%

Draw 26.14%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.44%