J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 6.00am
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 4 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki

Shimizu S-Pulse

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 0 - 5 Machida Zelvia
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kai Matsuzaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw has a probability of 20.34% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse has a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it is 0-1 (4.63%).

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.3% ▼ (-0.86)
Draw 20.34% ▲ (+0.50)
Shimizu S-Pulse 15.36% ▲ (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.97% ▼ (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.03% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 20.97% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 2.5 55.71% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 2.5 44.29% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 3.5 32.62% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 3.5 67.38% ▲ (+1.34)
Over 4.5 20.68% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 4.5 79.32% ▲ (+1.15)

First Half Winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48.95%
Draw 37.91%
Shimizu S-Pulse 13.13%

Team To Score First

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66.42% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 5.17% ▲ (+0.31)
Shimizu S-Pulse 28.41% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 63.42%
Equal 8 10.45%
Under 8 26.13%
Over 9 52.29%
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 36.58%
Over 10.5 41.4%
Under 10.5 58.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 1.5 59.57% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 1.5 40.43% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 2.5 32.34% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 2.5 67.66% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 3.5 14.49% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 3.5 85.51% ▲ (+0.96)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5 50.18% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 49.82% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 19.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 80.86% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 5.05% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 94.95% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.81% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.31%
Draw 20.36%
Shimizu S-Pulse 15.36%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.37)
2-1 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 14.48% ▼ (-0.95)
Total : 64.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.29)
0-0 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.36%
Shimizu S-Pulse
0-1 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.27)
1-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 15.36%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 10, 2025 10.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 3
Feb 26, 2025 10.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Iwagin Stadium
  • 12' goal
  • Sen Takagi 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 13'
  • yellowcard Tolgay Arslan 50'
  • goal Tsukasa Shiotani 65'
  • yellowcard Ryo Germain 78'
J1 League Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 10.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tsukasa Shiotani 65' redcard
  • Takumu Kawamura 83' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 90'+5' goal
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2022 6.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thiago 20' goal
  • Ronaldo 33' yellowcard
  • Thiago 70' goal
  • Daiki Matsuoka 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tsukasa Morishima 68'
  • goal Yoshifumi Kashiwa 80'
J1 League Gameweek 36
Nov 20, 2021 6.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Thiago 30' goal
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2021 10.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hayato Araki 59' goal
  • Yusuke Chajima 90'+1' yellowcard