J1 League Gameweek 14
Nov 7, 2026 5.00am
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 6.00am
Vissel Kobe 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Yuya Yamagishi

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 5.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Kyoto Sanga has a probability of 27.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win is 0-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Nagoya Grampus 46.09% ▼ (-1.17)
Draw 25.95%
Kyoto Sanga 27.96% ▲ (+1.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.49% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.49% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 26.51% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 48.8% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 51.2% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 26.8% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 73.17% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 14.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 85.44% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 35.07% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 44.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Kyoto Sanga 20.91% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 54.52% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.32% ▼ (-0.13)
Kyoto Sanga 38.16% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 64.64% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 24.97% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 53.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 35.36% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 42.45% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 10.5 57.55% ▲ (+0.16)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 43.12% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 1.5 56.88% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 2.5 18.61% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 81.39% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 6.48% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 93.52% ▲ (+0.19)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 63.41% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 0.5 36.59% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 1.5 28.81% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 1.5 71.19% ▼ (-1.08)
Over 2.5 9.38% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 90.62% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 3.5 2.52% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.48% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 46.09%
Draw 25.95%
Kyoto Sanga 27.97%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 46.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.95%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 27.97%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 10, 2025 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
  • Shohei Takeda 38' yellowcard
  • Shohei Takeda 38' yellowcard
  • Shun Nagasawa 70' goal
  • Shun Nagasawa 70' goal
  • goal Sho Inagaki 84'
  • goal Sho Inagaki 84'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Rafael Elias 59' goal
  • Taichi Hara 74' goal
  • Marco Tulio 79' goal
  • goal Patric 5'
  • goal Patric 19'
  • redcard Takuya Uchida 47'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Morishima 65'
J1 League Gameweek 16
May 26, 2024 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 50' yellowcard
  • Ryuji Izumi 50' yellowcard
  • Takuya Uchida 60' yellowcard
  • Takuya Uchida 60' yellowcard
  • Keiya Shiihashi 75' goal
  • Keiya Shiihashi 75' goal
  • Katsuhiro Nakayama 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Katsuhiro Nakayama 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuta Toyokawa 12'
  • yellowcard Yuta Toyokawa 12'
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 36'
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 36'
  • yellowcard Takumi Miyayoshi 67'
  • yellowcard Takumi Miyayoshi 67'
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 11.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
  • Ryogo Yamasaki 13' goal
  • Patric 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ryuji Izumi 62'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2023 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Kensuke Nagai 62' goal