J1 League Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2026 11.00am
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Yoshio Koizumi 16' yellowcard
  • Keita Endo 23' goal
  • Daiki Sugioka 52' yellowcard
  • goal Takuya Uchida 6'
  • goal Yudai Kimura 36'
  • goal Yuya Yamagishi 79'

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 11.00am
Reysol 4 - 2 Vissel Kobe
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Yusuke Segawa

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 8.00am
Kawasaki 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.21% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Kashiwa Reysol 58.36% ▲ (+0.87)
Draw 21.21% ▼ (-0.40)
Nagoya Grampus 20.43% ▼ (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.18% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.08% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 17.92% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 61.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 38.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 37.86% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 62.14% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 23.76% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 76.24% ▲ (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Kashiwa Reysol 42.7% ▲ (+0.61)
Draw 40.09% ▼ (-0.79)
Nagoya Grampus 17.22% ▲ (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Kashiwa Reysol 63.29% ▼ (-0.61)
No Goal 4.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Nagoya Grampus 32.41% ▲ (+0.58)

Corners

Over 8 53.66% ▼ (-7.52)
Equal 8 12.04% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 8 34.3% ▲ (+7.73)
Over 9 41.79% ▼ (-6.40)
Equal 9 11.87% ▼ (-1.12)
Under 9 46.34% ▲ (+7.52)
Over 10.5 31.05% ▼ (-4.77)
Under 10.5 68.95% ▲ (+4.77)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 1.5 58.57% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 41.43% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 31.77% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 68.23% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 13.97% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 86.03% ▼ (-0.22)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 58.28% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 0.5 41.72% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 1.5 26.75% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 73.25% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 2.5 8.84% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 91.16% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 2.43% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 97.57% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 58.36%
Draw 21.22%
Nagoya Grampus 20.43%
Kashiwa Reysol
2-1 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.38)
3-2 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 13.96% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 58.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 21.22%
Nagoya Grampus
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 20.43%

Head to Head

J1 League
Nov 8, 2025 7.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2025 6.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Sho Inagaki 2' goal
  • Sho Inagaki 2' goal
  • goal Yuto Yamada 33'
  • goal Yuto Yamada 33'
  • yellowcard Diego 45'
  • yellowcard Diego 45'
  • goal Mao Hosoya 50'
  • goal Mao Hosoya 50'
  • yellowcard Hiromu Mitsumaru 87'
  • yellowcard Hiromu Mitsumaru 87'
J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 10.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Yuki Soma 55' goal
  • Yuya Yamagishi 57' goal
  • Yuki Soma 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Savio 7'
  • yellowcard Eiji Shirai 68'
  • yellowcard Eiji Shirai 71'
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sekine 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 6.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Takuya Shimamura 83' yellowcard
  • Takuya Shimamura 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 18'
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 18'
  • yellowcard Chang-rae Ha 29'
  • yellowcard Ha Chang-Rae 29'
  • yellowcard Chang-rae Ha 29'
  • yellowcard Ha Chang-Rae 29'
  • yellowcard Tojiro Kubo 37'
  • yellowcard Tojiro Kubo 37'
  • yellowcard Kennedyegbus Mikuni 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Kennedyegbus Mikuni 45'+2'
  • goal Ha Chang-Rae 62'
  • goal Ha Chang-Rae 62'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 5.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Kasper Junker 90'+5' goal
  • goal Matheus Savio 71'
  • yellowcard Matheus Savio 78'
  • redcard Diego 90'+3'
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 6.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • goal Kasper Junker 41'
  • goal Kensuke Nagai 52'
  • goal Yugo Tatsuta 70' (OG)