J1 League Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE Toyota Stadium
  • Katsuhiro Nakayama 3' goal
  • Yota Sato 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dion Cools 26'
  • yellowcard S. Kagawa 49'

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 11.00am
Reysol 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Yudai Kimura

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 7.00am
Cerezo 2 - 4 Kawasaki
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Solomon Sakuragawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Cerezo Osaka has a probability of 36.46% and a draw has a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win is 0-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.49%).

Result

Nagoya Grampus 37.98% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 25.56% ▲ (+0.18)
Cerezo Osaka 36.46% ▼ (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.09% ▼ (-1.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.46% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 1.5 24.54% ▲ (+1.17)
Over 2.5 52.49% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 2.5 47.51% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 3.5 30.5% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 3.5 69.5% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 4.5 17.34% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 4.5 82.66% ▲ (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Nagoya Grampus 26.87% ▼ (-0.60)
Draw 41.91% ▲ (+0.19)
Cerezo Osaka 31.22% ▲ (+0.42)

Team To Score First

Nagoya Grampus 45.73% ▼ (-0.20)
No Goal 6.87% ▲ (+0.46)
Cerezo Osaka 47.4% ▼ (-0.28)

Corners

Over 8 58.59% ▲ (+0.39)
Equal 8 11.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 30.22% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 9 47.12% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 9 11.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.41% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 10.5 36.31% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 10.5 63.69% ▼ (-0.38)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 1.5 38.79% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 61.21% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 15.88% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 84.12% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 5.28% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 94.72% ▲ (+0.10)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 69.61% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 0.5 30.39% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 1.5 37.74% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 1.5 62.26% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 2.5 15.94% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 84.06% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 5.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.63% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 37.98%
Draw 25.57%
Cerezo Osaka 36.45%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.39)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 37.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.46)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.57%
Cerezo Osaka
0-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 36.45%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 4, 2025 5.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 7.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Sota Kitano 45'+4' goal
  • Sota Kitano 45'+4' goal
  • Niko Takahashi Cendagorta 77' yellowcard
  • Niko Takahashi Cendagorta 77' yellowcard
  • Kyohei Noborizato 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kyohei Noborizato 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryuji Izumi 33'
  • yellowcard Ryuji Izumi 33'
  • yellowcard Mateus 37'
  • yellowcard Mateus 37'
  • goal Mateus 85'
  • goal Mateus 85'
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Leo Ceara 26' goal
  • Lucas Fernandes 65' goal
  • Ryo Watanabe 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kennedyegbus Mikuni 30'
  • goal Tojiro Kubo 76'
  • yellowcard Keiya Shiihashi 86'
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 21, 2024 7.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Haruki Yoshida 23' yellowcard
  • Haruki Yoshida 23' yellowcard
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 62' yellowcard
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 62' yellowcard
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 65' goal
  • Kennedyegbus Mikuni 65' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 82' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 82' goal
  • Ha Chang-Rae 87' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 87' yellowcard
  • Ha Chang-Rae 87' yellowcard
  • Chang-rae Ha 87' yellowcard
  • Tsukasa Morishima 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tsukasa Morishima 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kennedyegbus Mikuni 67'
  • goal Kennedyegbus Mikuni 67'
  • yellowcard Capixaba 78'
  • yellowcard Capixaba 78'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 26, 2023 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • Satoki Uejo 9' goal
  • Satoki Uejo 71' goal
  • Sota Kitano 88' goal
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 12'
J1 League Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 8.00am
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
  • Ryuji Izumi 21' goal
  • Yuichi Maruyama 31' goal
  • Mateus 43' goal
  • goal Capixaba 4'