Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.