J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 at 7am UK
KINCHO Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Cerezo
1 - 0
Yokohama

Ratao (24', 24')
Kagawa (41'), Kagawa (41'), Furuyama (90+2'), Furuyama (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Inoue (8'), Inoue (8'), Uenaka (65'), Uenaka (65')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-4 Al-Nassr
Saturday, April 26 at 8.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawYokohama F Marinos
40.26% (0.016999999999996 0.02)23.61% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)36.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.82% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (0.148 0.15)39.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61% (0.156 0.16)61.39% (-0.157 -0.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.74% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (0.116 0.12)51.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.071000000000012 0.07)21.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.111 0.11)54.9% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 40.26%
    Yokohama F Marinos 36.13%
    Draw 23.61%
Cerezo OsakaDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 40.26%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.13%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 11am
Gameweek 28
Yokohama
4-0
Cerezo
Lopes (49' pen., 84'), Kato (73'), Amano (90+6')
Matsubara (64')

Kagawa (77')
Aug 24, 2024 11am
Gameweek 28
Yokohama
4-0
Cerezo
Lopes (49' pen., 84'), Kato (73'), Amano (90+6')
Matsubara (64')

Kagawa (77')
Apr 27, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Cerezo
2-2
Yokohama
Ceara (45+8', 68')
Mizunuma (17'), Sakakibara (59')
Popp (45'), Kato (65'), Yan (74'), Watanabe (79')
Nov 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 32
Yokohama
2-0
Cerezo
Yan (41'), Elber (45+1')
Apr 1, 2023 8am
Gameweek 6
Cerezo
2-1
Yokohama
Dudu (16' og.), Ceara (35')
Kida (83' og.)
rhs 2.0


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