Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.