Nations League
Italy
Nov 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
France
  • Davide Frattesi 31' yellowcard
  • Andrea Cambiaso 35' goal
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 2'
  • goal Guglielmo Vicario 33' (OG)
  • yellowcard Randal Kolo 44'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 65'
  • yellowcard Matteo Guendouzi 90'+3'

Italy vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
Belgium 0 - 1 Italy

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
France 0 - 0 Israel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for France had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Italy 47.85% ▲ (+2.03)
Draw 24.59% ▼ (-0.50)
France 27.56% ▼ (-1.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.93% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 2.5 47.08% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 3.5 30.69% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 3.5 69.31% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 4.5 15.15% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 4.5 84.85% ▼ (-0.79)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 80.27% ▲ (+1.38)
Under 0.5 19.74% ▼ (-1.37)
Over 1.5 48.24% ▲ (+2.18)
Under 1.5 51.77% ▼ (-2.18)

France Goals

Over 0.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 0.5 30.98% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 32.73% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 67.28% ▲ (+0.57)

Score analysis

Italy 47.85%
Draw 24.58%
France 27.57%
Italy
1-0 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.31)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.32)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.21)
4-0 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.28)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.58%
France
0-1 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.48)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.57%

Head to Head

Nations League
France
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
Italy
  • Bradley Barcola 1' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 60' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Dimarco 30'
  • yellowcard Mateo Retegui 49'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 51'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 74'
International Friendlies
France
Jun 1, 2018 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Italy
  • Samuel Umtiti 8' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 29' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 63' goal
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 36'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 42'
International Friendlies
Italy
Sep 1, 2016 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
France
  • Graziano Pelle 21' goal
  • goal Anthony Martial 17'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 28'
  • goal Layvin Kurzawa 81'
International Friendlies
Italy
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
France
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 0' goal
  • goal Mathieu Valbuena 0'
  • goal Bafetimbi Gomis 0'
World Cup
Italy
Jul 9, 2006 7.00pm
1
1
ET Olympiastadion
France
  • Gianluca Zambrotta 5' yellowcard
  • Marco Materazzi 19' goal
  • goal Zinedine Zidane 7'
  • yellowcard Willy Sagnol 12'
  • yellowcard Claude Makelele 76'
  • redcard Zinedine Zidane 110'
  • yellowcard Florent Malouda 111'
European Championship
France
Jul 2, 2000 7.00pm
2
1
ET De Kuip
Italy
  • Lilian Thuram 58' yellowcard
  • Sylvain Wiltord 90' goal
  • Trezeguet 103' goal
  • yellowcard Luigi Di Biagio 31'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cannavaro 42'
  • goal Marco Delvecchio 55'
  • yellowcard Francesco Totti 90'

Form Data

Belgium 0 - 1 Italy
Italy 4 - 1 Israel
Italy 2 - 2 Belgium
Israel 1 - 2 Italy
France 1 - 3 Italy
Switzerland 2 - 0 Italy
France 0 - 0 Israel
Belgium 1 - 2 France
Israel 1 - 4 France
France 2 - 0 Belgium
France 1 - 3 Italy
Spain 2 - 1 France

Build-up

Predicted Lineups