Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.