Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%) , while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (5.61%).