Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.