Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Puerto Rico had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Puerto Rico win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.