Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 59.78%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Dominica win was 2-1 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.