CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 15, 2024 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Bermuda National Stadium
  • Michael Findlay 24' yellowcard
  • Marcus Bredas 37' goal
  • Kole Hall 45' goal
  • Jai Bean 68' goal
  • yellowcard Gylles Mitchel 23'
  • yellowcard Eustace Marshall 30'
  • goal Troy Jules 51'
  • goal Audel Laville 60'
  • yellowcard Malachai Bonney 60'

Bermuda vs Dominica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Oct 12, 2024 11.30pm
Dominica 1 - 6 Bermuda

Dominica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Oct 12, 2024 11.30pm
Dominica 1 - 6 Bermuda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Dominica win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.

Result

Bermuda 40.61% (-0.24)
Draw 23.04% (+0.01)
Dominica 36.35% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.05% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 36.18% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 41.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 58.29% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 23.53% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.47% (-0.03)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5 81.64% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 18.37% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 50.51% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 49.49% (+0.16)

Dominica Goals

Over 0.5 79.69% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 20.32% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 47.31% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 52.7% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Bermuda 40.61%
Draw 23.03%
Dominica 36.35%
Bermuda
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.32% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 40.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.03%
Dominica
1-2 @ 8.03% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.95% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.27% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-97.90)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.35%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 12, 2024 11.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Bermuda National Stadium
  • Rufuson Pierre-Louis 39' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Joseph 61' goal
  • Gylles Mitchel 61' yellowcard
  • Audel Laville 71' yellowcard
  • Briel Thomas 89' yellowcard
  • Briel Thomas 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Nahki Wells 9'
  • goal Nahki Wells 18'
  • goal Nahki Wells 26'
  • yellowcard Reece Jones Jr. 31'
  • goal Zeiko Lewis 49'
  • goal Knory Scott 85'
  • goal Jai Bean 90'+1'