Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luxembourg win with a probability of 42.12%. A draw has a probability of 29.6% and a win for Slovenia has a probability of 28.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Slovenia win it is 0-1 (11.23%).